The global sum of socially conscious debt is barreling toward $5 trillion as Wall Street’s pursuit of sustainable investments fuels demand for the bonds and loans.
The Institute of International Finance expects $1.7 trillion this year in debt sales geared toward environmental, social and governance causes, a deluge that will vastly expand the $4.8 trillion universe of ESG debt. Another $2 trillion of the debt is forecast in 2024 as governments adopt a global biodiversity framework and commercial banks face pressure to de-carbonize portfolios, according to the industry group.
“We anticipate a strong rebound in 2023 as demand for ESG debt continues to surge,” IIF economist Khadija Mahmood and Director of Sustainability Research Emre Tiftik wrote in a Thursday report. “With a softening US dollar — and easier global financial conditions anticipated — international funding pressures should ease further.”
The IIF’s call comes even as conservative politicians in the US push back against the industry, with Florida state officials going so far as to pledge a purge of such thinking from its pension funds.
While overall bond-sale activity was tempered in 2022 as major central banks increased interest rates to combat inflation, ESG sales reached a record in emerging markets due governments including China, Turkey and Mexico, the IIF said.